默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ceará v Ponte Preta

2026-08-07 23:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

胜负盘

12 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ceará (主队)

预测 69.48%1.44公平赔率
EV -7.59%
优势 -5.71%
Kelly -23.01%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布
68.86%69.57%69.24%70.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.321.311.3376.92%76.05%76.05%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Ponte Preta (客队)

预测 9.88%10.12公平赔率
EV +1.27%
优势 +0.124%
Kelly +0.138%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 10.25

博彩公司预测分布
9.03%9.83%9.99%12.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.409.189.0010.2513.51%10.89%11.11%9.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.64%4.84公平赔率
EV -2.99%
优势 -0.636%
Kelly -0.807%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.70

博彩公司预测分布
19.05%20.60%20.77%20.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.334.474.474.7023.09%22.35%22.35%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

博彩公司赔率 (12 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -8.29%E -6.28%K -25.90%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.03%EV +1.27%E +0.124%K +0.138%G +0.002%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -8.15%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 15:30
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.97%EV -7.59%E -5.71%K -23.01%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.12%EV +0.778%E +0.076%K +0.085%G +0.001%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -8.15%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 15:40
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.15%EV -7.59%E -5.71%K -23.01%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.57%EV -3.67%E -0.376%K -0.419%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.05%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -7.59%E -5.71%K -23.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -6.14%E -0.646%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.12%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 14:50
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 69.98%EV -8.98%E -6.86%K -28.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -6.14%E -0.646%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -7.12%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-29 14:29
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.45%EV -9.68%E -7.44%K -32.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -11.08%E -1.23%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.18%E -2.09%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-29 14:34
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.68%E -7.44%K -32.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -11.08%E -1.23%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -10.62%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-29 15:29
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.68%E -7.44%K -32.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -11.08%E -1.23%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -10.62%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-29 20:33
betano_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.68%E -7.44%K -32.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -11.08%E -1.23%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -10.62%E -2.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-29 20:34
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.59%E -5.71%K -23.01%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.47%EV -13.05%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.08%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 20:36
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.59%E -5.71%K -23.01%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.47%EV -13.05%E -1.48%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.08%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 20:40
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 68.86%EV -9.68%E -7.44%K -32.26%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.10%EV -26.89%E -3.63%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -2.99%E -0.636%K -0.807%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-29 20:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。