StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Ceará v Ponte Preta

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-07 23:30 UTC

Endstand: Ceará 2–0 Ponte Preta

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

42 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Ceará (Heim)

Prognose 64.18%1.56faire Quote
EV -4.37%
Vorteil -2.93%
Kelly -8.92%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.49

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
62.24%64.13%64.21%65.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.361.431.441.4973.53%69.94%69.44%67.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Ponte Preta (Auswärts)

Prognose 12.98%7.70faire Quote
EV +7.24%
Vorteil +0.876%
Kelly +0.997%
Wachstum +0.072%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.26

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.59%13.01%12.94%14.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.407.077.008.2615.63%14.15%14.29%12.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.84%4.38faire Quote
EV -4.08%
Vorteil -0.972%
Kelly -1.28%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.03%22.86%22.85%24.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.754.024.004.2026.67%24.86%25.00%23.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Ceará (Heim): 64.18%; Ponte Preta (Auswärts): 12.98%; Unentschieden: 22.84%. Für Ponte Preta (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.70. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 8.26 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.24%.

Wettanbieterquoten (42 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.56%EV -6.30%E -4.31%K -13.69%G +0.000%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.59%EV +7.24%E +0.876%K +0.997%G +0.072%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.85%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 23:20
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 23:20
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 23:20
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.37%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.37%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 22:55
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:10
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:10
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.24%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.79%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 23:25
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.40%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.79%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.93%EV -12.07%E -8.81%K -32.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.37%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.17%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV -3.93%E -0.531%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.17%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV -3.93%E -0.531%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 23:25
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.17%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV -3.93%E -0.531%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 23:25
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -5.87%E -0.810%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -9.51%E -6.74%K -23.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -6.37%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.14%EV -10.15%E -7.25%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.84%EV -11.43%E -8.28%K -30.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.84%EV -11.43%E -8.28%K -30.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.15%E -7.25%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.22%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-07 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -12.72%E -9.35%K -35.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38%EV -9.79%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-07 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.44%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -12.37%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -14.36%E -3.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.51%EV -12.72%E -9.35%K -35.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -12.37%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-07 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.51%EV -12.72%E -9.35%K -35.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -12.37%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-07 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.36%EV -6.30%E -4.31%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.81%EV -13.02%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -7.51%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 23:25
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.36%EV -6.30%E -4.31%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.81%EV -13.02%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -7.51%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 23:25
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.85%EV -4.37%E -2.93%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.15%EV -14.05%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -7.05%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 23:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 23:25
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 23:25
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 23:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 23:25
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 23:25
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.22%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:54
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.22%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:54
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.15%E -7.25%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-07 22:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.24%EV -5.66%E -3.85%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -16.91%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 23:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.69%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.69%0.1%2026-08-07 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-08-07 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-08-07 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-08-07 23:20
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.14%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-08-07 23:25