Langue:Français
Ceará v Ponte Preta
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ceará (Local)
Prévision 64.18%1.56cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -2.93%
Kelly -8.92%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.24%64.13%64.21%65.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.431.441.4973.53%69.94%69.44%67.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ponte Preta (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.98%7.70cote équitable
EV +7.24%
Avantage +0.876%
Kelly +0.997%
Croissance +0.072%
avec la cote maximale 8.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.59%13.01%12.94%14.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.407.077.008.2615.63%14.15%14.29%12.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 22.84%4.38cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -0.972%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.03%22.86%22.85%24.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.024.004.2026.67%24.86%25.00%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ceará (Local) : 64.18% ; Ponte Preta (Visiteur) : 12.98% ; Match nul : 22.84%. Pour Ponte Preta (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.70. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.26, soit une espérance positive de +7.24%.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.56%EV -6.30%E -4.31%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 8.26I 12.11%NM 11.59%EV +7.24%E +0.876%K +0.997%G +0.072% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.85%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.37%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.37%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.24%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.79%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.40%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.79%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.93%EV -12.07%E -8.81%K -32.63%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.37%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.17%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV -3.93%E -0.531%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.17%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV -3.93%E -0.531%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.17%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV -3.93%E -0.531%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -5.87%E -0.810%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -9.51%E -6.74%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -6.37%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.14%EV -10.15%E -7.25%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.84%EV -11.43%E -8.28%K -30.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.84%EV -11.43%E -8.28%K -30.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.15%E -7.25%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.22%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-07 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -12.72%E -9.35%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38%EV -9.79%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.44%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -12.37%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -14.36%E -3.83%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.51%EV -12.72%E -9.35%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -12.37%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.51%EV -12.72%E -9.35%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -12.37%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.36%EV -6.30%E -4.31%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.81%EV -13.02%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -7.51%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.36%EV -6.30%E -4.31%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.81%EV -13.02%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -7.51%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.85%EV -4.37%E -2.93%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.15%EV -14.05%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -7.05%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.22%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 22:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.22%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 22:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.15%E -7.25%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-07 22:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.24%EV -5.66%E -3.85%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -16.91%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.69% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.69% | 0.1% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.14% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |