StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ceará v Ponte Preta

Matchstart: 2026-08-07 23:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Ceará 2–0 Ponte Preta

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

42 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ceará (Hemma)

Prognos 64.18%1.56rättvist odds
EV -4.37%
Fördel -2.93%
Kelly -8.92%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.49

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
62.24%64.13%64.21%65.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.361.431.441.4973.53%69.94%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ponte Preta (Borta)

Prognos 12.98%7.70rättvist odds
EV +7.24%
Fördel +0.876%
Kelly +0.997%
Tillväxt +0.072%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.26

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.59%13.01%12.94%14.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.407.077.008.2615.63%14.15%14.29%12.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.84%4.38rättvist odds
EV -4.08%
Fördel -0.972%
Kelly -1.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.03%22.86%22.85%24.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.754.024.004.2026.67%24.86%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ceará (Hemma): 64.18%; Ponte Preta (Borta): 12.98%; Oavgjort: 22.84%. För Ponte Preta (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.70. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 8.26, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.24%.

Spelbolagsodds (42 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.56%EV -6.30%E -4.31%K -13.69%G +0.000%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.59%EV +7.24%E +0.876%K +0.997%G +0.072%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.85%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 23:20
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 23:20
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 23:20
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.37%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.37%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 22:55
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:10
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:10
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.24%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.79%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 23:25
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.40%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -9.79%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.93%EV -12.07%E -8.81%K -32.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -2.63%E -0.351%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -6.37%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.17%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV -3.93%E -0.531%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.17%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV -3.93%E -0.531%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 23:25
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.17%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.57%EV -3.93%E -0.531%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 23:25
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -5.87%E -0.810%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.08%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -8.22%E -5.75%K -19.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -9.51%E -6.74%K -23.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -6.37%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.14%EV -10.15%E -7.25%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.84%EV -11.43%E -8.28%K -30.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.84%EV -11.43%E -8.28%K -30.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.15%E -7.25%K -25.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.22%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-07 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -12.72%E -9.35%K -35.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -9.12%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38%EV -9.79%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-07 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.44%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -12.37%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -14.36%E -3.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.51%EV -12.72%E -9.35%K -35.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -12.37%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-07 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.51%EV -12.72%E -9.35%K -35.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -12.37%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-07 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.36%EV -6.30%E -4.31%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.81%EV -13.02%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -7.51%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 23:25
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.36%EV -6.30%E -4.31%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.81%EV -13.02%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.84%EV -7.51%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 23:25
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.85%EV -4.37%E -2.93%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.15%EV -14.05%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -7.05%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 23:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.94%E -4.79%K -15.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 23:25
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 23:25
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 23:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 23:25
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 23:25
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.22%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:54
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -7.58%E -5.26%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.22%E -3.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 22:54
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -10.15%E -7.25%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.65%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-07 22:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.24%EV -5.66%E -3.85%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -16.91%E -2.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%EV -10.93%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 23:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.69%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.69%0.1%2026-08-07 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-08-07 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-08-07 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-08-07 23:20
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.14%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-08-07 23:25