Language:English
Ceará v Londrina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ceará (Local)
Prediction 47.20%2.12fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.50%47.37%47.16%51.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.921.952.0557.80%52.17%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Londrina (Visit)
Prediction 24.33%4.11fair odd
EV +3.40%
Edge +0.801%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.74%24.18%24.32%26.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.883.854.2528.57%25.80%25.97%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.47%3.51fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.519%
Kelly -0.731%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%28.45%28.52%30.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.253.4533.33%30.86%30.82%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ceará (Local): 47.20%; Londrina (Visit): 24.33%; Draw: 28.47%. For Londrina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.01%EV -15.51%E -8.66%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.683%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -4.64%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.28%EV +0.484%E +0.117%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -16.45%E -9.29%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.47%EV -16.92%E -9.61%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -17.39%E -9.94%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.54%EV -18.34%E -10.60%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.54%EV -18.34%E -10.60%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 20:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.48%E -3.82%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.73%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -11.73%E -6.27%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.09%EV -6.06%E -3.05%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.56%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.15%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 20:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.15%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 20:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |