Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ceará v Londrina

2026-08-22 21:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ceará (Local)

Prediction 50.60%1.98fair odd
EV -7.40%
Edge -4.05%
Kelly -8.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%50.60%50.60%51.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.831.8357.80%55.67%54.64%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Londrina (Visit)

Prediction 22.21%4.50fair odd
EV -6.70%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.21%22.21%22.21%22.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.104.204.2025.64%24.41%23.81%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.70%27.19%27.19%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.403.503.5030.77%29.38%28.57%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ceará (Local): 50.60%; Londrina (Visit): 22.21%; Draw: 27.19%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -4.84%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.40%E -4.05%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.40%E -4.05%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 22:05
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.40%E -4.05%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.40%E -4.05%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 22:05
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.40%E -4.05%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.40%E -4.05%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.40%E -4.05%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.70%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 22:05
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -8.92%E -4.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 22:04
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -10.44%E -5.90%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -10.95%E -6.22%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.14%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 22:04
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -11.45%E -6.54%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.45%EV -12.25%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.28%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 22:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.61%EV -12.46%E -7.20%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-15 22:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.61%EV -12.46%E -7.20%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.45%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-15 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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