Langue:Français
Ceará v Londrina
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ceará (Local)
Prévision 47.20%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -3.08%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.50%47.37%47.16%51.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.921.952.0557.80%52.17%51.28%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Londrina (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.33%4.11cote équitable
EV +3.40%
Avantage +0.801%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.036%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.74%24.18%24.32%26.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.883.854.2528.57%25.80%25.97%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.47%3.51cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.519%
Kelly -0.731%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.03%28.45%28.52%30.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.243.253.4533.33%30.86%30.82%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ceará (Local) : 47.20% ; Londrina (Visiteur) : 24.33% ; Match nul : 28.47%. Pour Londrina (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.11. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.25, soit une espérance positive de +3.40%.
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.01%EV -15.51%E -8.66%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.683%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -4.64%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.28%EV +0.484%E +0.117%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -16.45%E -9.29%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.47%EV -16.92%E -9.61%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -17.39%E -9.94%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.54%EV -18.34%E -10.60%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.54%EV -18.34%E -10.60%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 20:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.48%E -3.82%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.73%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -11.73%E -6.27%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.09%EV -6.06%E -3.05%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.56%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.15%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 20:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.15%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 20:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |