语言:简体中文
Ceará v Londrina
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ceará (主队)
预测 47.20%2.12公平赔率
EV -3.23%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -3.08%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.05
博彩公司预测分布
44.50%47.37%47.16%51.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.921.952.0557.80%52.17%51.28%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
Londrina (客队)
预测 24.33%4.11公平赔率
EV +3.40%
优势 +0.801%
Kelly +1.05%
增长率 +0.036%
假设最高赔率为 4.25
博彩公司预测分布
21.74%24.18%24.32%26.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.883.854.2528.57%25.80%25.97%23.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.47%3.51公平赔率
EV -1.79%
优势 -0.519%
Kelly -0.731%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.45
博彩公司预测分布
27.03%28.45%28.52%30.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.243.253.4533.33%30.86%30.82%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ceará (主队)：47.20%；Londrina (客队)：24.33%；平局：28.47%。 对于“Londrina (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.11。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.25，对应+3.40%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.01%EV -15.51%E -8.66%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.683%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -4.64%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.28%EV +0.484%E +0.117%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -16.45%E -9.29%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.47%EV -16.92%E -9.61%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -17.39%E -9.94%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.54%EV -18.34%E -10.60%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.54%EV -18.34%E -10.60%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 20:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.48%E -3.82%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.73%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -11.73%E -6.27%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.09%EV -6.06%E -3.05%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.56%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.15%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 20:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.15%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 20:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |