Idioma:Español
Ceará v Londrina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ceará (Local)
Predicción 47.20%2.12momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -3.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.50%47.37%47.16%51.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.921.952.0557.80%52.17%51.28%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Londrina (Visitante)
Predicción 24.33%4.11momio equitativo
EV +3.40%
Ventaja +0.801%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.036%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.74%24.18%24.32%26.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.883.854.2528.57%25.80%25.97%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.47%3.51momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.519%
Kelly -0.731%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.03%28.45%28.52%30.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.243.253.4533.33%30.86%30.82%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ceará (Local): 47.20%; Londrina (Visitante): 24.33%; Empate: 28.47%. Para Londrina (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.11. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.40%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.01%EV -15.51%E -8.66%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.683%G +0.015% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -4.64%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.28%EV +0.484%E +0.117%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -16.45%E -9.29%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.47%EV -16.92%E -9.61%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -17.39%E -9.94%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.54%EV -18.34%E -10.60%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.54%EV -18.34%E -10.60%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 20:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 20:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.48%E -3.82%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.73%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -11.73%E -6.27%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 20:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.09%EV -6.06%E -3.05%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.56%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.15%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 20:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.15%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 20:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 20:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 20:50 |