StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ceará v Londrina

Matchstart: 2026-08-22 21:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Ceará 2–1 Londrina

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ceará (Hemma)

Prognos 47.20%2.12rättvist odds
EV -3.23%
Fördel -1.58%
Kelly -3.08%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.50%47.37%47.16%51.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.731.921.952.0557.80%52.17%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Londrina (Borta)

Prognos 24.33%4.11rättvist odds
EV +3.40%
Fördel +0.801%
Kelly +1.05%
Tillväxt +0.036%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.74%24.18%24.32%26.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.883.854.2528.57%25.80%25.97%23.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.47%3.51rättvist odds
EV -1.79%
Fördel -0.519%
Kelly -0.731%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.03%28.45%28.52%30.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.243.253.4533.33%30.86%30.82%28.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ceará (Hemma): 47.20%; Londrina (Borta): 24.33%; Oavgjort: 28.47%. För Londrina (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.11. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.40%.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 20:55
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 20:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 20:54
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 20:55
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.01%EV -15.51%E -8.66%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.683%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -4.64%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 20:35
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.28%EV +0.484%E +0.117%K +0.155%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 20:50
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 20:55
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 20:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -16.45%E -9.29%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.47%EV -16.92%E -9.61%K -22.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -17.39%E -9.94%K -23.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 20:55
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 20:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.54%EV -18.34%E -10.60%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-22 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.54%EV -18.34%E -10.60%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-22 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 20:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 20:54
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 20:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.48%E -3.82%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 20:34
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.73%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 20:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 20:35
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 20:50
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -11.73%E -6.27%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 20:50
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 20:49
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 20:50
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 20:50
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 20:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.09%EV -6.06%E -3.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 20:50
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.56%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 20:45
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.15%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 20:48
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.15%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 20:48
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 20:50
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 20:34
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 20:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 20:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 20:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-08-22 20:55
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-08-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-08-22 20:55
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62%1.3%2026-08-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.7%2026-08-22 20:50