Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ceará v Londrina

Inizio: 2026-08-22 21:00 UTC

Finale: Ceará 2–1 Londrina

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

44 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ceará (Casa)

Previsione 47.20%2.12quota equa
EV -3.23%
Vantaggio -1.58%
Kelly -3.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.50%47.37%47.16%51.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.921.952.0557.80%52.17%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Londrina (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.33%4.11quota equa
EV +3.40%
Vantaggio +0.801%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescita +0.036%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.74%24.18%24.32%26.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.883.854.2528.57%25.80%25.97%23.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.47%3.51quota equa
EV -1.79%
Vantaggio -0.519%
Kelly -0.731%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.03%28.45%28.52%30.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.243.253.4533.33%30.86%30.82%28.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ceará (Casa): 47.20%; Londrina (Trasferta): 24.33%; Pareggio: 28.47%. Per Londrina (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.11. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.40%.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 20:55
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 20:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 20:54
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV +3.40%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -1.79%E -0.519%K -0.731%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 20:55
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.01%EV -15.51%E -8.66%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.683%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -4.64%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 20:35
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.28%EV +0.484%E +0.117%K +0.155%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.13%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 20:50
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 20:55
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 20:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -13.62%E -7.44%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -16.45%E -9.29%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.47%EV -16.92%E -9.61%K -22.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -17.39%E -9.94%K -23.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -2.68%E -0.670%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 20:55
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 20:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.54%EV -18.34%E -10.60%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-22 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.54%EV -18.34%E -10.60%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.14%EV -3.90%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-22 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 20:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 20:54
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 20:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.33%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.48%E -3.82%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.77%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 20:34
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.73%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -7.20%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 20:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 20:35
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -7.55%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -6.06%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 20:50
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -11.73%E -6.27%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 20:50
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 20:49
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 20:50
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.91%E -2.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 20:50
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.22%E -0.946%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 20:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.09%EV -6.06%E -3.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -10.33%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 20:50
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.56%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.98%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -14.60%E -4.87%K -7.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 20:45
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.15%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 20:48
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.15%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 20:48
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 20:50
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 20:34
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 20:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 20:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 20:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-08-22 20:55
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-08-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-08-22 20:55
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62%1.3%2026-08-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.7%2026-08-22 20:50