A Escola das Odds

Botafogo v São Bernardo

Início: 2026-04-05 23:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Botafogo (Local)

Previsão 46.60%2.15odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.39%46.59%46.70%50.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.802.012.022.1055.56%49.63%49.50%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

São Bernardo (Visitante)

Previsão 23.02%4.34odd justa
EV +2.44%
Vantagem +0.548%
Kelly +0.707%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.56%23.09%22.93%25.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.953.854.4527.78%25.29%25.97%22.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.38%3.29odd justa
EV -4.30%
Vantagem -1.37%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.18%30.33%30.37%31.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.053.103.1534.48%32.75%32.26%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.44%EV -10.06%E -5.21%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%EV +2.44%E +0.548%K +0.707%G +0.017%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.55%EV -7.04%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 23:25
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.35%EV -5.40%E -2.66%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.65%EV +2.21%E +0.497%K +0.642%G +0.014%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 23:25
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -16.12%E -8.96%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV +1.29%E +0.293%K +0.379%G +0.005%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 23:25
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -11.46%E -6.03%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -0.324%E -0.075%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.41%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.14%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 23:00
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -4.30%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 23:25
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -10.99%E -5.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 23:25
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -2.17%E -0.509%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 23:15
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 23:10
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -7.27%E -3.65%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.33%EV -10.08%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 23:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -12.86%E -6.88%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 23:24
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -4.47%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 23:09
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 23:25
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 23:24
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 23:25
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.53%EV -8.20%E -4.16%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 23:25
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 23:25
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 23:25
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 23:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 23:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 23:15
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 22:59
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 23:05
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.82%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 23:25
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 23:25
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 23:25
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 23:25
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 23:25
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -17.13%E -4.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-04-05 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%4.0%2026-04-05 23:25