L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Botafogo v São Bernardo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Botafogo (Local)
Prévision 46.60%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.39%46.59%46.70%50.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.012.022.1055.56%49.63%49.50%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
São Bernardo (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.02%4.34cote équitable
EV +2.44%
Avantage +0.548%
Kelly +0.707%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 4.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.56%23.09%22.93%25.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.953.854.4527.78%25.29%25.97%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.38%3.29cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -2.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.18%30.33%30.37%31.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.053.103.1534.48%32.75%32.26%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.44%EV -10.06%E -5.21%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%EV +2.44%E +0.548%K +0.707%G +0.017% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.55%EV -7.04%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.35%EV -5.40%E -2.66%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.65%EV +2.21%E +0.497%K +0.642%G +0.014% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -16.12%E -8.96%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV +1.29%E +0.293%K +0.379%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -11.46%E -6.03%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -0.324%E -0.075%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.41%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.14%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -4.30%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -10.99%E -5.76%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -2.17%E -0.509%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 23:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -7.27%E -3.65%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.33%EV -10.08%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -12.86%E -6.88%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 23:24 |
| Bovada | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -4.47%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 23:09 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.53%EV -8.20%E -4.16%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 23:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.82%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -17.13%E -4.76%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 23:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |