La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Botafogo v São Bernardo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Botafogo (Local)
Predicción 46.60%2.15momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.39%46.59%46.70%50.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.012.022.1055.56%49.63%49.50%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
São Bernardo (Visitante)
Predicción 23.02%4.34momio equitativo
EV +2.44%
Ventaja +0.548%
Kelly +0.707%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.56%23.09%22.93%25.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.953.854.4527.78%25.29%25.97%22.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.38%3.29momio equitativo
EV -4.30%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -2.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.18%30.33%30.37%31.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.053.103.1534.48%32.75%32.26%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.44%EV -10.06%E -5.21%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%EV +2.44%E +0.548%K +0.707%G +0.017% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.55%EV -7.04%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.35%EV -5.40%E -2.66%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.65%EV +2.21%E +0.497%K +0.642%G +0.014% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -16.12%E -8.96%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV +1.29%E +0.293%K +0.379%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -11.46%E -6.03%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -0.324%E -0.075%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.41%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.14%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -4.30%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -10.99%E -5.76%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -2.17%E -0.509%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 23:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -7.27%E -3.65%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.33%EV -10.08%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -12.86%E -6.88%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 23:24 |
| Bovada | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -4.47%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 23:09 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.53%EV -8.20%E -4.16%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 23:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.82%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -17.13%E -4.76%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 23:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |