Szkoła Kursów

Botafogo v São Bernardo

Początek: 2026-04-05 23:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

38 bukmacherów (14 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Botafogo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 46.60%2.15kurs godziwy
EV -2.14%
Przewaga -1.02%
Kelly -1.95%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.39%46.59%46.70%50.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.802.012.022.1055.56%49.63%49.50%47.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

São Bernardo (Goście)

Prognoza 23.02%4.34kurs godziwy
EV +2.44%
Przewaga +0.548%
Kelly +0.707%
Wzrost +0.017%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.56%23.09%22.93%25.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.603.953.854.4527.78%25.29%25.97%22.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 30.38%3.29kurs godziwy
EV -4.30%
Przewaga -1.37%
Kelly -2.00%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.15

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.18%30.33%30.37%31.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.053.103.1534.48%32.75%32.26%31.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (38 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.44%EV -10.06%E -5.21%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%EV +2.44%E +0.548%K +0.707%G +0.017%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.55%EV -7.04%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 23:25
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.35%EV -5.40%E -2.66%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.65%EV +2.21%E +0.497%K +0.642%G +0.014%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 23:25
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -16.12%E -8.96%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV +1.29%E +0.293%K +0.379%G +0.005%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 23:25
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -11.46%E -6.03%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -0.324%E -0.075%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.41%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.14%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 23:00
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -4.30%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 23:25
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -10.99%E -5.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 23:25
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -2.17%E -0.509%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 23:15
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 23:10
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -7.27%E -3.65%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.33%EV -10.08%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 23:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -12.86%E -6.88%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 23:24
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -4.47%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 23:09
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 23:25
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 23:24
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 23:25
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.53%EV -8.20%E -4.16%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 23:25
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 23:25
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 23:25
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 23:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 23:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 23:15
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 22:59
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 23:05
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.82%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 23:25
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 23:25
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 23:25
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 23:25
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 23:25
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -17.13%E -4.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 23:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-04-05 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%4.0%2026-04-05 23:25