La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Botafogo v São Bernardo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Botafogo (Casa)
Previsione 46.60%2.15quota equa
EV -2.14%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.39%46.59%46.70%50.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.802.012.022.1055.56%49.63%49.50%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
São Bernardo (Trasferta)
Previsione 23.02%4.34quota equa
EV +2.44%
Vantaggio +0.548%
Kelly +0.707%
Crescita +0.017%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.56%23.09%22.93%25.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.953.854.4527.78%25.29%25.97%22.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.38%3.29quota equa
EV -4.30%
Vantaggio -1.37%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.18%30.33%30.37%31.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.053.103.1534.48%32.75%32.26%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.44%EV -10.06%E -5.21%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%EV +2.44%E +0.548%K +0.707%G +0.017% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.55%EV -7.04%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.35%EV -5.40%E -2.66%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.65%EV +2.21%E +0.497%K +0.642%G +0.014% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -16.12%E -8.96%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV +1.29%E +0.293%K +0.379%G +0.005% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -11.46%E -6.03%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -0.324%E -0.075%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.41%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.14%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -4.30%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -10.99%E -5.76%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -2.17%E -0.509%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 23:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -7.27%E -3.65%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.33%EV -10.08%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -12.86%E -6.88%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 23:24 |
| Bovada | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -4.47%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 23:09 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.53%EV -8.20%E -4.16%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 23:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 22:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.82%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -17.13%E -4.76%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 23:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 23:25 |