مدرسة الاحتمالات

Botafogo v São Bernardo

البداية: 2026-04-05 23:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

38 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Botafogo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.60%2.15السعر العادل
EV -2.14%
الأفضلية -1.02%
Kelly -1.95%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.39%46.59%46.70%50.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.802.012.022.1055.56%49.63%49.50%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

São Bernardo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.02%4.34السعر العادل
EV +2.44%
الأفضلية +0.548%
Kelly +0.707%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.56%23.09%22.93%25.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.953.854.4527.78%25.29%25.97%22.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.38%3.29السعر العادل
EV -4.30%
الأفضلية -1.37%
Kelly -2.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.18%30.33%30.37%31.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.053.103.1534.48%32.75%32.26%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (38 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.44%EV -10.06%E -5.21%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%EV +2.44%E +0.548%K +0.707%G +0.017%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.55%EV -7.04%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 23:25
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.35%EV -5.40%E -2.66%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.65%EV +2.21%E +0.497%K +0.642%G +0.014%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 23:25
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -16.12%E -8.96%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV +1.29%E +0.293%K +0.379%G +0.005%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 23:25
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -11.46%E -6.03%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -0.324%E -0.075%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.41%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.14%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 23:00
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.12%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -4.30%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 23:25
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -10.99%E -5.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -1.01%E -0.236%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 23:25
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -2.17%E -0.509%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 23:15
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 23:10
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -7.27%E -3.65%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.33%EV -10.08%E -3.40%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 23:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -12.86%E -6.88%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -3.32%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 23:24
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -4.47%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 23:09
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 23:25
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 23:24
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -7.73%E -3.90%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 23:25
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.53%EV -8.20%E -4.16%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 23:25
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 23:25
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 23:25
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 23:25
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -12.52%E -3.30%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 23:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 23:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 23:15
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -13.68%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.90%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 22:59
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 23:05
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.34%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.82%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -14.83%E -4.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 23:25
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -4.94%E -2.42%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -8.86%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 23:25
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 23:25
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 23:25
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -5.87%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -15.98%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 23:25
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -17.13%E -4.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 23:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-04-05 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-04-05 23:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%4.0%2026-04-05 23:25