Language:English
Botafogo v Operario PR
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botafogo (Local)
Prediction 39.49%2.53fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.000%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.66%39.74%39.42%42.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.272.302.4748.08%44.01%43.48%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Operario PR (Visit)
Prediction 28.01%3.57fair odd
EV +5.04%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.093%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.87%27.85%28.01%29.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.383.343.7533.33%29.62%29.94%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.50%3.08fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.86%32.42%32.58%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.822.852.9537.74%35.49%35.09%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botafogo (Local): 39.49%; Operario PR (Visit): 28.01%; Draw: 32.50%. For Operario PR (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.82%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +0.842%E +0.234%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.62%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-13 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.81%EV -14.32%E -6.60%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV +0.842%E +0.234%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.75%EV -15.50%E -7.24%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.09%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.98%EV -16.29%E -7.68%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.07%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.98%EV -16.29%E -7.68%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.07%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.01%EV -3.08%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -9.97%E -3.60%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.96%EV -2.47%E -1.000%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.97%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.07%EV -5.42%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -9.97%E -4.37%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -6.44%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.25%EV -9.32%E -3.34%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -4.12%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.39%E -3.62%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV -6.42%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV -6.42%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-14 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-14 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 21:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-14 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-14 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-14 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-14 21:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.19% | 1.1% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09% | 1.4% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09% | 1.4% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09% | 1.4% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 1.8% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |