مدرسة الاحتمالات

Botafogo v Operario PR

البداية: 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Botafogo 2–1 Operario PR

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Botafogo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.49%2.53السعر العادل
EV -2.47%
الأفضلية -1.000%
Kelly -1.68%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.47

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.66%39.74%39.42%42.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.082.272.302.4748.08%44.01%43.48%40.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Operario PR (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.01%3.57السعر العادل
EV +5.04%
الأفضلية +1.34%
Kelly +1.83%
النمو +0.093%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.87%27.85%28.01%29.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.383.343.7533.33%29.62%29.94%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 32.50%3.08السعر العادل
EV -4.12%
الأفضلية -1.40%
Kelly -2.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.86%32.42%32.58%33.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.652.822.852.9537.74%35.49%35.09%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:41
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.82%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +0.842%E +0.234%K +0.324%G +0.003%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.62%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 15:10
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 41.81%EV -14.32%E -6.60%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV +0.842%E +0.234%K +0.324%G +0.003%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 41.75%EV -15.50%E -7.24%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.09%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 21:40
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 41.98%EV -16.29%E -7.68%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.07%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.98%EV -16.29%E -7.68%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.07%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 21:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-14 21:41
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-14 21:41
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-14 21:40
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.01%EV -3.08%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -9.97%E -3.60%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 21:50
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 38.96%EV -2.47%E -1.000%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.97%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.07%EV -5.42%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 21:41
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 21:41
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 21:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 21:40
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -9.97%E -4.37%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 21:50
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 21:40
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -6.44%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.25%EV -9.32%E -3.34%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 21:50
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 21:40
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -4.12%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-14 13:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 13:30
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.39%E -3.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 21:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-14 21:40
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV -6.42%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
BetUS2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV -6.42%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 19:00
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 21:30
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 21:30
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-14 21:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 21:40
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 21:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 21:39
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-14 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-14 21:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-14 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-14 21:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.19%1.1%2026-06-14 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09%1.4%2026-06-14 21:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09%1.4%2026-06-14 21:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09%1.4%2026-06-14 21:41
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%1.8%2026-06-14 21:50