Школа коэффициентов

Botafogo v Operario PR

Начало: 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC

Итог: Botafogo 2–1 Operario PR

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

45 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Botafogo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 39.49%2.53справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.47%
Преимущество -1.000%
Kelly -1.68%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.47

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.66%39.74%39.42%42.40%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.082.272.302.4748.08%44.01%43.48%40.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Operario PR (Гости)

Прогноз 28.01%3.57справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.04%
Преимущество +1.34%
Kelly +1.83%
Рост +0.093%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.87%27.85%28.01%29.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.383.343.7533.33%29.62%29.94%26.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 32.50%3.08справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.12%
Преимущество -1.40%
Kelly -2.11%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.86%32.42%32.58%33.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.652.822.852.9537.74%35.49%35.09%33.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:41
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.82%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +0.842%E +0.234%K +0.324%G +0.003%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.62%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 15:10
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 41.81%EV -14.32%E -6.60%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV +0.842%E +0.234%K +0.324%G +0.003%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 41.75%EV -15.50%E -7.24%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.09%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 21:40
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 41.98%EV -16.29%E -7.68%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.07%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.98%EV -16.29%E -7.68%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.07%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 21:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-14 21:41
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-14 21:41
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-14 21:40
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.01%EV -3.08%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -9.97%E -3.60%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 21:50
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 38.96%EV -2.47%E -1.000%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.97%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.07%EV -5.42%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 21:41
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 21:41
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 21:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 21:40
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -9.97%E -4.37%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 21:50
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 21:40
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -6.44%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.25%EV -9.32%E -3.34%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 21:50
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 21:40
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -4.12%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-14 13:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 13:30
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.39%E -3.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 21:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-14 21:40
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV -6.42%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
BetUS2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV -6.42%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 19:00
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 21:30
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 21:30
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-14 21:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 21:40
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 21:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 21:39
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-14 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-14 21:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-14 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-14 21:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.19%1.1%2026-06-14 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09%1.4%2026-06-14 21:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09%1.4%2026-06-14 21:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09%1.4%2026-06-14 21:41
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%1.8%2026-06-14 21:50