Szkoła Kursów

Botafogo v Operario PR

Początek: 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Botafogo 2–1 Operario PR

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

45 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Botafogo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 39.49%2.53kurs godziwy
EV -2.47%
Przewaga -1.000%
Kelly -1.68%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.47

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.66%39.74%39.42%42.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.082.272.302.4748.08%44.01%43.48%40.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Operario PR (Goście)

Prognoza 28.01%3.57kurs godziwy
EV +5.04%
Przewaga +1.34%
Kelly +1.83%
Wzrost +0.093%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.87%27.85%28.01%29.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.383.343.7533.33%29.62%29.94%26.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 32.50%3.08kurs godziwy
EV -4.12%
Przewaga -1.40%
Kelly -2.11%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.86%32.42%32.58%33.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.652.822.852.9537.74%35.49%35.09%33.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (45 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:41
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.82%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +0.842%E +0.234%K +0.324%G +0.003%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.62%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 15:10
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 41.81%EV -14.32%E -6.60%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV +0.842%E +0.234%K +0.324%G +0.003%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-14 21:40
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 41.75%EV -15.50%E -7.24%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.09%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 21:40
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 41.98%EV -16.29%E -7.68%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.07%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.98%EV -16.29%E -7.68%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.07%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 21:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-14 21:41
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-14 21:41
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-14 21:40
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.01%EV -3.08%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -9.97%E -3.60%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 21:50
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 38.96%EV -2.47%E -1.000%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.97%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.07%EV -5.42%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 21:41
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 21:41
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 21:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 21:40
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -9.97%E -4.37%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 21:50
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 21:40
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -6.44%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.25%EV -9.32%E -3.34%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 21:50
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 21:40
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -4.12%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-14 13:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 13:30
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.39%E -3.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 21:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-14 21:40
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV -6.42%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
BetUS2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV -6.42%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 19:00
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 21:30
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 21:30
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-14 21:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 21:40
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 21:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 21:39
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-14 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-14 21:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-14 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-14 21:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.19%1.1%2026-06-14 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09%1.4%2026-06-14 21:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09%1.4%2026-06-14 21:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09%1.4%2026-06-14 21:41
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%1.8%2026-06-14 21:50