La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Botafogo v Operario PR
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Botafogo (Casa)
Previsione 39.49%2.53quota equa
EV -2.47%
Vantaggio -1.000%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.47
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.66%39.74%39.42%42.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.082.272.302.4748.08%44.01%43.48%40.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Operario PR (Trasferta)
Previsione 28.01%3.57quota equa
EV +5.04%
Vantaggio +1.34%
Kelly +1.83%
Crescita +0.093%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.87%27.85%28.01%29.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.383.343.7533.33%29.62%29.94%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 32.50%3.08quota equa
EV -4.12%
Vantaggio -1.40%
Kelly -2.11%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.86%32.42%32.58%33.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.822.852.9537.74%35.49%35.09%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +5.04%E +1.34%K +1.83%G +0.093% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.82%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +0.842%E +0.234%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.62%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-13 15:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.81%EV -14.32%E -6.60%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV +0.842%E +0.234%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.75%EV -15.50%E -7.24%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.09%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.98%EV -16.29%E -7.68%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.07%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.98%EV -16.29%E -7.68%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.07%EV -0.559%E -0.157%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.03%EV -17.87%E -8.59%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.99%EV -13.87%E -5.23%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.01%EV -3.08%E -0.890%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -9.97%E -3.60%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.96%EV -2.47%E -1.000%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.97%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.07%EV -5.42%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.11%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -8.34%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -9.97%E -4.37%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.23%E -2.18%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -6.44%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.25%EV -9.32%E -3.34%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -4.12%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-14 13:30 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.02%E -2.53%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.39%E -3.62%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Bovada | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV -6.42%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| BetUS | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV -6.42%E -2.71%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.13%E -5.97%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-14 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.21%E -3.07%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-14 21:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 21:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.18%E -3.99%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 21:39 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-14 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-14 21:30 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-14 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -11.16%E -4.96%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -15.97%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -6.72%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-14 21:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.19% | 1.1% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09% | 1.4% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09% | 1.4% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.09% | 1.4% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Smarkets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 1.8% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |