Language:English
Botafogo v Clube de Regatas Brasil
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botafogo (Local)
Prediction 38.69%2.58fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%38.91%38.68%41.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.342.382.4746.08%42.70%42.02%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit)
Prediction 31.40%3.18fair odd
EV +3.63%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.58%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.04%31.25%31.51%32.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.953.3036.36%33.77%33.90%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.91%3.34fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%29.84%29.81%30.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.053.053.2134.48%32.78%32.79%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botafogo (Local): 38.69%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit): 31.40%; Draw: 29.91%. For Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV +3.63%E +1.10%K +1.58%G +0.057% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 01:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.97%EV -4.44%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.98%EV -3.99%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.16%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-30 20:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -9.07%E -2.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -6.77%E -2.81%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -5.48%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -6.98%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-30 22:47 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -8.30%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-30 22:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 22:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-30 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.31%E -3.51%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.31%E -3.51%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -6.68%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 22:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |