Школа коэффициентов

Botafogo v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Начало: 2026-06-30 23:00 UTC

Итог: Botafogo 0–1 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

45 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Botafogo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 38.69%2.58справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.44%
Преимущество -1.80%
Kelly -3.02%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.47

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.23%38.91%38.68%41.12%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.172.342.382.4746.08%42.70%42.02%40.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Гости)

Прогноз 31.40%3.18справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.63%
Преимущество +1.10%
Kelly +1.58%
Рост +0.057%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.04%31.25%31.51%32.88%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.962.953.3036.36%33.77%33.90%30.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.91%3.34справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.99%
Преимущество -1.24%
Kelly -1.80%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.21

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.77%29.84%29.81%30.84%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.053.053.2134.48%32.78%32.79%31.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV +3.63%E +1.10%K +1.58%G +0.057%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 01:19
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 38.97%EV -4.44%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.98%EV -3.99%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 22:39
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 22:19
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 22:39
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 22:39
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.16%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-30 20:39
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -9.07%E -2.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 22:50
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -6.77%E -2.81%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -5.48%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -6.98%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 22:50
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 22:50
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 22:49
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 22:47
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-30 22:19
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-30 22:19
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 22:39
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 22:19
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-30 22:19
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-30 22:19
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -8.30%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 22:19
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 22:19
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 22:19
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 22:50
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 22:49
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 22:49
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 22:49
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 22:20
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 22:18
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-30 22:19
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 22:20
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 22:19
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 22:19
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.31%E -3.51%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 22:19
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.31%E -3.51%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 22:19
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -6.68%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 22:38
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 22:19
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-30 22:19
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-06-30 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-06-30 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-06-30 22:50
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-06-30 22:50
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-06-30 22:50