مدرسة الاحتمالات

Botafogo v Clube de Regatas Brasil

البداية: 2026-06-30 23:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Botafogo 0–1 Clube de Regatas Brasil

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Botafogo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.69%2.58السعر العادل
EV -4.44%
الأفضلية -1.80%
Kelly -3.02%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.47

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.23%38.91%38.68%41.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.172.342.382.4746.08%42.70%42.02%40.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Clube de Regatas Brasil (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.40%3.18السعر العادل
EV +3.63%
الأفضلية +1.10%
Kelly +1.58%
النمو +0.057%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.04%31.25%31.51%32.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.962.953.3036.36%33.77%33.90%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.91%3.34السعر العادل
EV -3.99%
الأفضلية -1.24%
Kelly -1.80%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.77%29.84%29.81%30.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.053.053.2134.48%32.78%32.79%31.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV +3.63%E +1.10%K +1.58%G +0.057%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 01:19
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 38.97%EV -4.44%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.98%EV -3.99%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 22:39
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 22:19
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 22:39
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 22:39
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.16%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-30 20:39
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -9.07%E -2.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 22:50
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -6.77%E -2.81%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -5.48%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -6.98%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 22:50
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 22:50
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 22:49
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 22:47
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-30 22:19
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-30 22:19
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 22:39
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 22:19
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-30 22:19
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-30 22:19
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -8.30%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 22:19
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 22:19
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 22:19
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 22:50
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 22:49
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 22:49
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 22:49
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 22:20
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 22:18
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-30 22:19
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 22:20
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 22:19
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 22:19
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.31%E -3.51%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 22:19
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.31%E -3.51%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 22:19
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -6.68%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 22:38
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 22:19
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-30 22:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-06-30 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-06-30 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-06-30 22:50
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-06-30 22:50
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-06-30 22:50