L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Botafogo v Clube de Regatas Brasil
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Botafogo (Local)
Prévision 38.69%2.58cote équitable
EV -4.44%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -3.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.23%38.91%38.68%41.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.342.382.4746.08%42.70%42.02%40.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.40%3.18cote équitable
EV +3.63%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.58%
Croissance +0.057%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.04%31.25%31.51%32.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.962.953.3036.36%33.77%33.90%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.91%3.34cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -1.80%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.77%29.84%29.81%30.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.053.053.2134.48%32.78%32.79%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV +3.63%E +1.10%K +1.58%G +0.057% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 01:19 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.97%EV -4.44%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.98%EV -3.99%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.16%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-30 20:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -9.07%E -2.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -6.77%E -2.81%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -5.48%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -6.98%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-30 22:47 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| LeoVegas | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -8.30%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 22:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-30 22:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-30 22:18 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-30 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.31%E -3.51%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.31%E -3.51%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -6.68%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-30 22:38 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-30 22:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 22:50 |