A Escola das Odds

Botafogo v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Início: 2026-06-30 23:00 UTC

Final: Botafogo 0–1 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Botafogo (Local)

Previsão 38.69%2.58odd justa
EV -4.44%
Vantagem -1.80%
Kelly -3.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.23%38.91%38.68%41.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.172.342.382.4746.08%42.70%42.02%40.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante)

Previsão 31.40%3.18odd justa
EV +3.63%
Vantagem +1.10%
Kelly +1.58%
Crescimento +0.057%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.04%31.25%31.51%32.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.962.953.3036.36%33.77%33.90%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.91%3.34odd justa
EV -3.99%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.77%29.84%29.81%30.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.053.053.2134.48%32.78%32.79%31.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV +3.63%E +1.10%K +1.58%G +0.057%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 01:19
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -1.08%E -0.343%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 38.97%EV -4.44%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.98%EV -3.99%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 22:39
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 22:19
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 22:39
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 22:39
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.16%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-30 20:39
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.51%EV -9.07%E -2.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-30 22:50
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -6.77%E -2.81%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -5.48%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -6.98%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 22:50
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 22:50
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-30 22:49
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 22:47
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-30 22:19
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 40.34%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-30 22:19
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 22:39
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 22:19
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-30 22:19
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-30 22:19
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.26%EV -16.05%E -7.40%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -7.36%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.13%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-30 22:19
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -8.30%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-30 22:19
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 22:19
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 22:19
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 22:50
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 22:49
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 22:49
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 22:49
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 22:20
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-30 22:18
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-30 22:19
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 22:20
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-30 22:19
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 22:19
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.31%E -3.51%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 22:19
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.31%E -3.51%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 22:19
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -6.68%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 22:38
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 22:19
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-30 22:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-06-30 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-06-30 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-06-30 22:50
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%0.9%2026-06-30 22:50
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-06-30 22:50