语言:简体中文
América Mineiro v Ponte Preta
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
América Mineiro (主队)
预测 83.80%1.19公平赔率
EV -5.31%
优势 -4.70%
Kelly -40.84%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.13
博彩公司预测分布
81.46%83.68%84.00%84.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.031.101.111.1397.09%90.57%90.09%88.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ponte Preta (客队)
预测 4.93%20.27公平赔率
EV +13.45%
优势 +0.585%
Kelly +0.611%
增长率 +0.082%
假设最高赔率为 23.00
博彩公司预测分布
4.06%5.02%4.91%6.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
13.0018.4219.0023.007.69%5.43%5.26%4.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 11.27%8.87公平赔率
EV +1.44%
优势 +0.159%
Kelly +0.179%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 9.00
博彩公司预测分布
10.36%11.31%11.09%14.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.508.088.009.0015.38%12.38%12.50%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：América Mineiro (主队)：83.80%；Ponte Preta (客队)：4.93%；平局：11.27%。 对于“Ponte Preta (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为20.27。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为23.00，对应+13.45%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.25%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.80%EV -8.66%E -7.95%K -96.24%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.20%EV +8.52%E +0.387%K +0.405%G +0.035% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.00%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.75%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 21.09I 4.74%NM 4.50%EV +4.03%E +0.191%K +0.200%G +0.008% | 8.83I 11.33%NM 10.75%EV -0.481%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.02I 12.47%NM 11.62%EV -9.61%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.46%EV -5.31%E -4.70%K -40.84%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -26.74%E -4.11%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.83%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.71%EV -1.35%E -0.067%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.61%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -1.35%E -0.067%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -1.38%E -0.158%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.76%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.89%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 84.53%EV -13.69%E -13.29%K -456.31%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.58%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.88%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.68%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.02%EV -11.21%E -0.623%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.68%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.02%EV -11.21%E -0.623%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 18:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.39%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -14.34%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 22:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.84%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -21.11%E -3.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.56%EV -10.34%E -9.66%K -147.68%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.26%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -11.18%E -10.54%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -11.18%E -10.54%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.61%EV -18.61%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.02%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.61%EV -18.61%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.02%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.16%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -21.08%E -1.32%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.43%EV -28.48%E -1.96%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.04% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.90% | 22.99I 4.35%NM 4.25% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |