StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

América Mineiro v Ponte Preta

Matchstart: 2026-08-30 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: América Mineiro 2–0 Ponte Preta

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

América Mineiro (Hemma)

Prognos 83.80%1.19rättvist odds
EV -5.31%
Fördel -4.70%
Kelly -40.84%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.13

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
81.46%83.68%84.00%84.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.031.101.111.1397.09%90.57%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ponte Preta (Borta)

Prognos 4.93%20.27rättvist odds
EV +13.45%
Fördel +0.585%
Kelly +0.611%
Tillväxt +0.082%

med antagandet om högsta odds 23.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
4.06%5.02%4.91%6.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
13.0018.4219.0023.007.69%5.43%5.26%4.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 11.27%8.87rättvist odds
EV +1.44%
Fördel +0.159%
Kelly +0.179%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
10.36%11.31%11.09%14.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.508.088.009.0015.38%12.38%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: América Mineiro (Hemma): 83.80%; Ponte Preta (Borta): 4.93%; Oavgjort: 11.27%. För Ponte Preta (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 20.27. 15 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 23.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +13.45%.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.25%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 18:04
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.80%EV -8.66%E -7.95%K -96.24%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.20%EV +8.52%E +0.387%K +0.405%G +0.035%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.00%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.75%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%21.09I 4.74%NM 4.50%EV +4.03%E +0.191%K +0.200%G +0.008%8.83I 11.33%NM 10.75%EV -0.481%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.02I 12.47%NM 11.62%EV -9.61%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.46%EV -5.31%E -4.70%K -40.84%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -26.74%E -4.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.83%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.71%EV -1.35%E -0.067%K -0.071%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003%6.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.61%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -1.35%E -0.067%K -0.071%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:44
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003%6.5%2026-08-30 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -1.38%E -0.158%K -0.178%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.76%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.89%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 84.53%EV -13.69%E -13.29%K -456.31%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.58%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.88%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-30 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.68%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.02%EV -11.21%E -0.623%K -0.660%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.68%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.02%EV -11.21%E -0.623%K -0.660%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:49
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 18:55
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 18:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.39%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -14.34%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 22:40
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.84%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -21.11%E -3.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.56%EV -10.34%E -9.66%K -147.68%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.26%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -11.18%E -10.54%K -186.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -11.18%E -10.54%K -186.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.61%EV -18.61%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.02%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.61%EV -18.61%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.02%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.16%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -21.08%E -1.32%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.43%EV -28.48%E -1.96%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003%7.3%2026-08-30 18:29
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:30
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 85.04%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%0.5%2026-08-30 18:55
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%1.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%1.0%2026-08-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%1.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 84.90%22.99I 4.35%NM 4.25%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%2.4%2026-08-30 18:55