StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

América Mineiro v Ponte Preta

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-30 19:00 UTC

Endstand: América Mineiro 2–0 Ponte Preta

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

44 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

América Mineiro (Heim)

Prognose 83.80%1.19faire Quote
EV -5.31%
Vorteil -4.70%
Kelly -40.84%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.13

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
81.46%83.68%84.00%84.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.031.101.111.1397.09%90.57%90.09%88.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Ponte Preta (Auswärts)

Prognose 4.93%20.27faire Quote
EV +13.45%
Vorteil +0.585%
Kelly +0.611%
Wachstum +0.082%

bei einer Höchstquote von 23.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
4.06%5.02%4.91%6.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
13.0018.4219.0023.007.69%5.43%5.26%4.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 11.27%8.87faire Quote
EV +1.44%
Vorteil +0.159%
Kelly +0.179%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.36%11.31%11.09%14.16%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.508.088.009.0015.38%12.38%12.50%11.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: América Mineiro (Heim): 83.80%; Ponte Preta (Auswärts): 4.93%; Unentschieden: 11.27%. Für Ponte Preta (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 20.27. 15 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 23.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +13.45%.

Wettanbieterquoten (44 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.25%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 18:04
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.80%EV -8.66%E -7.95%K -96.24%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.20%EV +8.52%E +0.387%K +0.405%G +0.035%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.00%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.75%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%21.09I 4.74%NM 4.50%EV +4.03%E +0.191%K +0.200%G +0.008%8.83I 11.33%NM 10.75%EV -0.481%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.02I 12.47%NM 11.62%EV -9.61%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.46%EV -5.31%E -4.70%K -40.84%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -26.74%E -4.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.83%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.71%EV -1.35%E -0.067%K -0.071%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003%6.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.61%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -1.35%E -0.067%K -0.071%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:44
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003%6.5%2026-08-30 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -1.38%E -0.158%K -0.178%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.76%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.89%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 84.53%EV -13.69%E -13.29%K -456.31%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.58%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.88%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-30 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.68%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.02%EV -11.21%E -0.623%K -0.660%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.68%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.02%EV -11.21%E -0.623%K -0.660%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:49
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 18:55
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 18:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.39%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -14.34%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 22:40
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.84%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -21.11%E -3.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.56%EV -10.34%E -9.66%K -147.68%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.26%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -11.18%E -10.54%K -186.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -11.18%E -10.54%K -186.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.61%EV -18.61%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.02%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.61%EV -18.61%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.02%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.16%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -21.08%E -1.32%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.43%EV -28.48%E -1.96%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003%7.3%2026-08-30 18:29
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:30
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 85.04%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%0.5%2026-08-30 18:55
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%1.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%1.0%2026-08-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%1.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 84.90%22.99I 4.35%NM 4.25%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%2.4%2026-08-30 18:55