Idioma:Español
América Mineiro v Ponte Preta
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América Mineiro (Local)
Predicción 83.80%1.19momio equitativo
EV -5.31%
Ventaja -4.70%
Kelly -40.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.46%83.68%84.00%84.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.031.101.111.1397.09%90.57%90.09%88.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ponte Preta (Visitante)
Predicción 4.93%20.27momio equitativo
EV +13.45%
Ventaja +0.585%
Kelly +0.611%
Crecimiento +0.082%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 23.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
4.06%5.02%4.91%6.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
13.0018.4219.0023.007.69%5.43%5.26%4.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 11.27%8.87momio equitativo
EV +1.44%
Ventaja +0.159%
Kelly +0.179%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.36%11.31%11.09%14.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.508.088.009.0015.38%12.38%12.50%11.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: América Mineiro (Local): 83.80%; Ponte Preta (Visitante): 4.93%; Empate: 11.27%. Para Ponte Preta (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 20.27. 15 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 23.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +13.45%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.25%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.80%EV -8.66%E -7.95%K -96.24%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.20%EV +8.52%E +0.387%K +0.405%G +0.035% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.00%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.75%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 21.09I 4.74%NM 4.50%EV +4.03%E +0.191%K +0.200%G +0.008% | 8.83I 11.33%NM 10.75%EV -0.481%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.02I 12.47%NM 11.62%EV -9.61%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.46%EV -5.31%E -4.70%K -40.84%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -26.74%E -4.11%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.83%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.71%EV -1.35%E -0.067%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.61%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -1.35%E -0.067%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -1.38%E -0.158%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.76%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.89%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 84.53%EV -13.69%E -13.29%K -456.31%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.58%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.88%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.68%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.02%EV -11.21%E -0.623%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.68%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.02%EV -11.21%E -0.623%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 18:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.39%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -14.34%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 22:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.84%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -21.11%E -3.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.56%EV -10.34%E -9.66%K -147.68%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.26%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -11.18%E -10.54%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -11.18%E -10.54%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.61%EV -18.61%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.02%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.61%EV -18.61%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.02%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.16%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -21.08%E -1.32%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.43%EV -28.48%E -1.96%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.04% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.90% | 22.99I 4.35%NM 4.25% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |