Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

América Mineiro v Ponte Preta

Inizio: 2026-08-30 19:00 UTC

Finale: América Mineiro 2–0 Ponte Preta

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

44 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

América Mineiro (Casa)

Previsione 83.80%1.19quota equa
EV -5.31%
Vantaggio -4.70%
Kelly -40.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.46%83.68%84.00%84.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.031.101.111.1397.09%90.57%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Ponte Preta (Trasferta)

Previsione 4.93%20.27quota equa
EV +13.45%
Vantaggio +0.585%
Kelly +0.611%
Crescita +0.082%

ipotizzando la quota massima 23.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
4.06%5.02%4.91%6.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
13.0018.4219.0023.007.69%5.43%5.26%4.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 11.27%8.87quota equa
EV +1.44%
Vantaggio +0.159%
Kelly +0.179%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.36%11.31%11.09%14.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.508.088.009.0015.38%12.38%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: América Mineiro (Casa): 83.80%; Ponte Preta (Trasferta): 4.93%; Pareggio: 11.27%. Per Ponte Preta (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 20.27. 15 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 23.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +13.45%.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.25%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 18:04
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.80%EV -8.66%E -7.95%K -96.24%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.20%EV +8.52%E +0.387%K +0.405%G +0.035%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.00%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.75%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%21.09I 4.74%NM 4.50%EV +4.03%E +0.191%K +0.200%G +0.008%8.83I 11.33%NM 10.75%EV -0.481%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:50
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%8.02I 12.47%NM 11.62%EV -9.61%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.46%EV -5.31%E -4.70%K -40.84%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -26.74%E -4.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.83%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.71%EV -1.35%E -0.067%K -0.071%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003%6.2%2026-08-30 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.61%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -1.35%E -0.067%K -0.071%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:44
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003%6.5%2026-08-30 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -1.38%E -0.158%K -0.178%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.76%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.89%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 84.53%EV -13.69%E -13.29%K -456.31%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.58%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.88%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-30 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.68%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.02%EV -11.21%E -0.623%K -0.660%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.68%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.02%EV -11.21%E -0.623%K -0.660%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:49
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 18:55
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 18:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.39%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -14.34%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 22:40
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.84%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -21.11%E -3.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.56%EV -10.34%E -9.66%K -147.68%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.26%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -11.18%E -10.54%K -186.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -11.18%E -10.54%K -186.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.61%EV -18.61%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.02%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.61%EV -18.61%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.02%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.16%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -21.08%E -1.32%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.43%EV -28.48%E -1.96%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003%7.3%2026-08-30 18:29
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:30
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 18:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 85.04%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%0.5%2026-08-30 18:55
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%1.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%1.0%2026-08-30 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%1.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 84.90%22.99I 4.35%NM 4.25%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%2.4%2026-08-30 18:55