Langue:Français
América Mineiro v Ponte Preta
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
América Mineiro (Local)
Prévision 83.80%1.19cote équitable
EV -5.31%
Avantage -4.70%
Kelly -40.84%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.46%83.68%84.00%84.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.031.101.111.1397.09%90.57%90.09%88.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ponte Preta (Visiteur)
Prévision 4.93%20.27cote équitable
EV +13.45%
Avantage +0.585%
Kelly +0.611%
Croissance +0.082%
avec la cote maximale 23.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.06%5.02%4.91%6.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
13.0018.4219.0023.007.69%5.43%5.26%4.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 11.27%8.87cote équitable
EV +1.44%
Avantage +0.159%
Kelly +0.179%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 9.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.36%11.31%11.09%14.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.508.088.009.0015.38%12.38%12.50%11.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : América Mineiro (Local) : 83.80% ; Ponte Preta (Visiteur) : 4.93% ; Match nul : 11.27%. Pour Ponte Preta (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 20.27. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 23.00, soit une espérance positive de +13.45%.
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.25%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.47%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +13.45%E +0.585%K +0.611%G +0.082% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.80%EV -8.66%E -7.95%K -96.24%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.20%EV +8.52%E +0.387%K +0.405%G +0.035% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.00%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.75%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 21.09I 4.74%NM 4.50%EV +4.03%E +0.191%K +0.200%G +0.008% | 8.83I 11.33%NM 10.75%EV -0.481%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 8.02I 12.47%NM 11.62%EV -9.61%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.46%EV -5.31%E -4.70%K -40.84%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +3.58%E +0.171%K +0.179%G +0.006% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -26.74%E -4.11%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.83%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.71%EV -1.35%E -0.067%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.61%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -1.35%E -0.067%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -1.38%E -0.158%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -4.20%E -0.494%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.76%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.89%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 84.53%EV -13.69%E -13.29%K -456.31%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.58%EV -6.28%E -0.331%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.88%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.68%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.02%EV -11.21%E -0.623%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.68%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.02%EV -11.21%E -0.623%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 18:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.39%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -14.34%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 22:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.84%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -21.11%E -3.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.56%EV -10.34%E -9.66%K -147.68%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.26%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -11.18%E -10.54%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.69%EV -11.18%E -10.54%K -186.25%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.22%EV -16.15%E -0.950%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.61%EV -18.61%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.02%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.37%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.61%EV -18.61%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.02%EV -5.33%E -0.634%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.16%EV -9.50%E -8.80%K -118.74%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -21.08%E -1.32%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -7.82%E -7.11%K -78.23%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -26.01%E -1.73%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -15.47%E -2.06%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.22%EV -6.15%E -5.49%K -51.23%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.43%EV -28.48%E -1.96%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +1.44%E +0.159%K +0.179%G +0.003% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -6.99%E -6.29%K -63.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -35.88%E -2.76%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.84%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.04% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.90% | 22.99I 4.35%NM 4.25% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |