Language:English
América Mineiro v Criciuma
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América Mineiro (Local)
Prediction 30.52%3.28fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.444%
Kelly -0.642%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.25%30.47%30.53%31.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.003.003.2335.09%33.30%33.33%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Criciuma (Visit)
Prediction 38.13%2.62fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.30%38.22%38.04%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.402.5145.45%41.64%41.67%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.36%3.19fair odd
EV -4.99%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.45%31.31%31.43%32.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.912.923.0338.46%34.35%34.25%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América Mineiro (Local): 30.52%; Criciuma (Visit): 38.13%; Draw: 31.36%. For América Mineiro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.23, with an expected value of -1.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV -1.43%E -0.444%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.38%EV -4.30%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.79%EV -4.99%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -2.35%E -0.734%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -16.12%E -7.33%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.48%EV -6.97%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.72%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.48%EV -6.97%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.72%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -4.79%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.12%EV -10.02%E -4.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 22:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -6.01%E -1.95%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -7.35%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.47%EV -8.88%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.38%EV -8.13%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-23 22:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-22 06:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.86%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-23 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-23 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -7.35%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.65%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -14.21%E -6.32%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -18.47%E -7.11%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.42%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.42%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97% | 2.5% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |