StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

América Mineiro v Criciuma

Matchstart: 2026-06-23 23:00 UTC

Slutresultat: América Mineiro 0–1 Criciuma

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

América Mineiro (Hemma)

Prognos 30.52%3.28rättvist odds
EV -1.43%
Fördel -0.444%
Kelly -0.642%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.25%30.47%30.53%31.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.853.003.003.2335.09%33.30%33.33%30.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Criciuma (Borta)

Prognos 38.13%2.62rättvist odds
EV -4.30%
Fördel -1.71%
Kelly -2.85%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.51

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.30%38.22%38.04%41.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.402.402.5145.45%41.64%41.67%39.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.36%3.19rättvist odds
EV -4.99%
Fördel -1.65%
Kelly -2.46%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.03

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.45%31.31%31.43%32.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.912.923.0338.46%34.35%34.25%33.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: América Mineiro (Hemma): 30.52%; Criciuma (Borta): 38.13%; Oavgjort: 31.36%. För América Mineiro (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.28. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.23, med väntevärdet -1.43%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV -1.43%E -0.444%K -0.642%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.38%EV -4.30%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.79%EV -4.99%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -2.35%E -0.734%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -16.12%E -7.33%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 22:40
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.48%EV -6.97%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.72%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.48%EV -6.97%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.72%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 22:50
BetUS🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -4.79%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.12%EV -10.02%E -4.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 22:49
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 22:50
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 22:50
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -6.01%E -1.95%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -7.35%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.47%EV -8.88%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.38%EV -8.13%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 22:48
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 06:10
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-23 22:40
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.86%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 22:40
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-23 22:50
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 22:39
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 22:39
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -7.35%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 22:20
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-23 22:40
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.65%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-23 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-23 22:20
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 22:40
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 22:40
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -14.21%E -6.32%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -18.47%E -7.11%K -11.55%G +0.000%17.6%2026-06-23 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.42%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.42%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-23 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-23 22:20
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-23 22:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-06-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%2.5%2026-06-23 22:50