A Escola das Odds

América Mineiro v Criciuma

Início: 2026-06-23 23:00 UTC

Final: América Mineiro 0–1 Criciuma

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

América Mineiro (Local)

Previsão 30.52%3.28odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.444%
Kelly -0.642%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.25%30.47%30.53%31.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.853.003.003.2335.09%33.30%33.33%30.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Criciuma (Visitante)

Previsão 38.13%2.62odd justa
EV -4.30%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -2.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.30%38.22%38.04%41.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.402.402.5145.45%41.64%41.67%39.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.36%3.19odd justa
EV -4.99%
Vantagem -1.65%
Kelly -2.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.45%31.31%31.43%32.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.912.923.0338.46%34.35%34.25%33.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV -1.43%E -0.444%K -0.642%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.38%EV -4.30%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.79%EV -4.99%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 22:50
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -2.35%E -0.734%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -16.12%E -7.33%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 22:40
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 22:40
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.48%EV -6.97%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.72%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 22:50
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.48%EV -6.97%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.72%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 22:50
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -4.79%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.12%EV -10.02%E -4.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 22:49
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 22:50
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 22:50
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -6.01%E -1.95%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -7.35%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:19
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.47%EV -8.88%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.38%EV -8.13%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 22:48
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 06:10
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-23 22:40
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.86%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 22:40
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-23 22:50
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 22:39
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 22:39
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -7.35%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 22:20
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 22:40
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-23 22:40
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.65%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-23 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-23 22:20
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 22:40
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 22:40
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -14.21%E -6.32%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -18.47%E -7.11%K -11.55%G +0.000%17.6%2026-06-23 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.42%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.42%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 22:40
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-23 22:20
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-23 22:20
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-23 22:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-06-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%2.5%2026-06-23 22:50