La escuela de los momiosAmérica Mineiro v Criciuma
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América Mineiro (Local)
Predicción 30.52%3.28momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.444%
Kelly -0.642%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.25%30.47%30.53%31.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.003.003.2335.09%33.30%33.33%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Criciuma (Visitante)
Predicción 38.13%2.62momio equitativo
EV -4.30%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.30%38.22%38.04%41.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.402.402.5145.45%41.64%41.67%39.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.36%3.19momio equitativo
EV -4.99%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -2.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.45%31.31%31.43%32.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.912.923.0338.46%34.35%34.25%33.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV -1.43%E -0.444%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.38%EV -4.30%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.79%EV -4.99%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -2.35%E -0.734%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -16.12%E -7.33%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.48%EV -6.97%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.72%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.48%EV -6.97%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.72%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| BetUS | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -4.79%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.12%EV -10.02%E -4.25%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 22:49 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -6.01%E -1.95%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -7.35%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| betPARX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.47%EV -8.88%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.38%EV -8.13%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-23 22:48 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-22 06:10 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.86%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-23 22:39 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-23 22:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -7.35%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.65%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| Neds | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -14.21%E -6.32%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -18.47%E -7.11%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.42%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.42%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-23 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-23 22:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97% | 2.5% | 2026-06-23 22:50 |