مدرسة الاحتمالات

América Mineiro v Criciuma

البداية: 2026-06-23 23:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: América Mineiro 0–1 Criciuma

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

América Mineiro (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.52%3.28السعر العادل
EV -1.43%
الأفضلية -0.444%
Kelly -0.642%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.25%30.47%30.53%31.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.853.003.003.2335.09%33.30%33.33%30.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Criciuma (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.13%2.62السعر العادل
EV -4.30%
الأفضلية -1.71%
Kelly -2.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.30%38.22%38.04%41.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.402.402.5145.45%41.64%41.67%39.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.36%3.19السعر العادل
EV -4.99%
الأفضلية -1.65%
Kelly -2.46%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.03

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.45%31.31%31.43%32.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.912.923.0338.46%34.35%34.25%33.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV -1.43%E -0.444%K -0.642%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.38%EV -4.30%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.79%EV -4.99%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 22:50
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -2.35%E -0.734%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -16.12%E -7.33%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 22:40
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 22:40
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.48%EV -6.97%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.72%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 22:50
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.48%EV -6.97%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.72%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 22:50
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -4.79%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.12%EV -10.02%E -4.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 22:49
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 22:50
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 22:50
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -6.01%E -1.95%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -7.35%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:19
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.47%EV -8.88%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.38%EV -8.13%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 22:48
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 06:10
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-23 22:40
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.86%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 22:40
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-23 22:50
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 22:39
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 22:39
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -7.35%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 22:20
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 22:40
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-23 22:40
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.65%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-23 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-23 22:20
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 22:40
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 22:40
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -14.21%E -6.32%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -18.47%E -7.11%K -11.55%G +0.000%17.6%2026-06-23 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.42%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.42%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 22:40
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-23 22:20
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-23 22:20
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-23 22:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-06-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%2.5%2026-06-23 22:50