L’École des cotes

América Mineiro v Criciuma

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-23 23:00 UTC

Score final : América Mineiro 0–1 Criciuma

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

América Mineiro (Local)

Prévision 30.52%3.28cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.444%
Kelly -0.642%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.25%30.47%30.53%31.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.003.003.2335.09%33.30%33.33%30.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Criciuma (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.13%2.62cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -2.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.30%38.22%38.04%41.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.402.402.5145.45%41.64%41.67%39.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.36%3.19cote équitable
EV -4.99%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -2.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.45%31.31%31.43%32.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.912.923.0338.46%34.35%34.25%33.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.23I 30.96%NM 29.83%EV -1.43%E -0.444%K -0.642%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.38%EV -4.30%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.79%EV -4.99%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 22:50
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -2.35%E -0.734%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -16.12%E -7.33%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-23 22:40
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 22:40
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.48%EV -6.97%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.72%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 22:50
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -3.87%E -1.23%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.48%EV -6.97%E -2.86%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.72%EV -7.18%E -2.43%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 22:50
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -4.79%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.12%EV -10.02%E -4.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 22:49
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 22:50
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 22:50
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.40%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 22:50
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.10%EV -6.01%E -1.95%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -7.35%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:19
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -5.44%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -6.93%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.47%EV -8.88%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.38%EV -8.13%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-23 22:48
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 06:10
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-23 22:40
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -8.44%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-23 22:40
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.86%EV -7.73%E -3.19%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 22:40
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-23 22:50
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.45%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.31%E -5.35%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 22:39
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 22:39
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -7.35%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 22:20
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-23 22:40
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-23 22:40
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-23 22:40
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.65%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-23 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -11.50%E -3.97%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-23 22:20
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.69%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 22:40
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.26%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-23 22:40
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -10.40%E -4.43%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-23 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -12.11%E -4.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -14.21%E -6.32%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -18.47%E -7.11%K -11.55%G +0.000%17.6%2026-06-23 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.42%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.42%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.64%E -4.07%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.07%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-23 22:40
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-23 22:20
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-23 22:20
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.74%EV -11.16%E -4.79%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.41%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-23 22:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-06-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-06-23 22:50
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%2.5%2026-06-23 22:50