Language:English
Sao Paulo v Chapecoense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sao Paulo (Local)
Prediction 66.45%1.50fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -8.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.72%66.36%66.61%69.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.401.411.4580.65%71.65%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chapecoense (Visit)
Prediction 12.83%7.79fair odd
EV +9.09%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.110%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.32%12.86%12.63%14.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.247.408.5016.67%13.81%13.51%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.71%4.83fair odd
EV +5.64%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.078%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.64%20.77%20.75%22.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.464.505.1025.00%22.40%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sao Paulo (Local): 66.45%; Chapecoense (Visit): 12.83%; Draw: 20.71%. For Chapecoense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.79. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.81%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.32%EV +9.09%E +1.07%K +1.21%G +0.110% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.50%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 8.38I 11.93%NM 11.52%EV +7.55%E +0.900%K +1.02%G +0.077% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.53%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV +5.88%E +0.712%K +0.811%G +0.048% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.53%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV +5.88%E +0.712%K +0.811%G +0.048% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.53%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV +5.88%E +0.712%K +0.811%G +0.048% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.381%G +0.010% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.87%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.381%G +0.010% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.87%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.381%G +0.010% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.39%EV -8.96%E -6.54%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.94I 12.59%NM 11.97%EV +1.90%E +0.239%K +0.274%G +0.005% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +5.64%E +1.11%K +1.38%G +0.078% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.72%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.14%EV -0.540%E -0.070%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.14%EV -7.82%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.72%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.14%EV -0.540%E -0.070%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.14%EV -7.82%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.30%E -6.01%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -8.96%E -6.54%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 22:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -10.29%E -7.62%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -10.29%E -7.62%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.03%E -0.680%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.03%E -0.680%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -5.03%E -0.680%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.52%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.37I 13.57%NM 12.73%EV -5.42%E -0.735%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.75%EV -6.37%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 22:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -11.62%E -8.74%K -35.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -13.37%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -13.37%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.81%EV -8.96%E -6.54%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.46%EV -14.02%E -2.09%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.55%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -13.00%E -3.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 66.63%EV -17.60%E -14.19%K -73.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.71%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.66%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.66%EV -10.95%E -8.17%K -32.22%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 13.64%EV -17.22%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.70%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -17.87%E -2.79%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -17.87%E -2.79%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 22:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.26%EV -10.29%E -7.62%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV -17.87%E -2.79%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.98%EV -13.00%E -3.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -7.63%E -5.49%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -19.79%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.69%EV -23.00%E -3.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.41% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.37% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.37% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.37% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.09% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 22:50 |