A Escola das Odds

Sao Paulo v Chapecoense

Início: 2026-03-12 23:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sao Paulo (Local)

Previsão 66.45%1.50odd justa
EV -3.64%
Vantagem -2.51%
Kelly -8.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.72%66.36%66.61%69.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.241.401.411.4580.65%71.65%70.92%68.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chapecoense (Visitante)

Previsão 12.83%7.79odd justa
EV +9.09%
Vantagem +1.07%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescimento +0.110%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.32%12.86%12.63%14.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.007.247.408.5016.67%13.81%13.51%11.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.71%4.83odd justa
EV +5.64%
Vantagem +1.11%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescimento +0.078%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.64%20.77%20.75%22.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.464.505.1025.00%22.40%22.22%19.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.81%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.32%EV +9.09%E +1.07%K +1.21%G +0.110%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:40
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.50%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.38I 11.93%NM 11.52%EV +7.55%E +0.900%K +1.02%G +0.077%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.53%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV +5.88%E +0.712%K +0.811%G +0.048%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:35
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.53%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV +5.88%E +0.712%K +0.811%G +0.048%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:35
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 67.53%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV +5.88%E +0.712%K +0.811%G +0.048%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:35
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.381%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.87%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:35
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.381%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.87%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:35
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.381%G +0.010%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:45
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.39%EV -8.96%E -6.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%7.94I 12.59%NM 11.97%EV +1.90%E +0.239%K +0.274%G +0.005%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +5.64%E +1.11%K +1.38%G +0.078%5.2%2026-03-12 22:55
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 66.72%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.14%EV -0.540%E -0.070%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.14%EV -7.82%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:55
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 66.72%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.14%EV -0.540%E -0.070%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.14%EV -7.82%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:54
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 22:35
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:35
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.30%E -6.01%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -8.96%E -6.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 22:34
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 22:35
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-12 22:35
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 22:35
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -10.29%E -7.62%K -29.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -10.29%E -7.62%K -29.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 22:35
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.03%E -0.680%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:45
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.03%E -0.680%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:45
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -5.03%E -0.680%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 22:40
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 66.52%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 12.73%EV -5.42%E -0.735%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.75%EV -6.37%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 22:35
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 22:54
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 22:45
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 22:45
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 22:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-12 22:15
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:50
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:50
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:50
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -11.62%E -8.74%K -35.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-12 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -13.37%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 22:50
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -13.37%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 22:20
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 65.81%EV -8.96%E -6.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.46%EV -14.02%E -2.09%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-12 22:55
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 22:30
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 22:30
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 22:50
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.55%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-12 22:50
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -13.00%E -3.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-12 22:35
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 66.63%EV -17.60%E -14.19%K -73.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.71%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.66%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%21.0%2026-03-12 22:35
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.66%EV -10.95%E -8.17%K -32.22%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 13.64%EV -17.22%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.70%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 22:55
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -17.87%E -2.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -17.87%E -2.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 22:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.26%EV -10.29%E -7.62%K -29.40%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV -17.87%E -2.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.98%EV -13.00%E -3.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-12 22:45
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -7.63%E -5.49%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -19.79%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 22:45
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.69%EV -23.00%E -3.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-12 22:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.41%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-03-12 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.37%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.9%2026-03-12 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.37%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.9%2026-03-12 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.37%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.9%2026-03-12 22:50
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 68.09%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%1.3%2026-03-12 22:50
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%2.9%2026-03-12 22:50