Школа коэффициентов

Sao Paulo v Chapecoense

Начало: 2026-03-12 23:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Sao Paulo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 66.45%1.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.64%
Преимущество -2.51%
Kelly -8.10%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
64.72%66.36%66.61%69.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.241.401.411.4580.65%71.65%70.92%68.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Chapecoense (Гости)

Прогноз 12.83%7.79справедливый коэффициент
EV +9.09%
Преимущество +1.07%
Kelly +1.21%
Рост +0.110%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.32%12.86%12.63%14.69%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
6.007.247.408.5016.67%13.81%13.51%11.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 20.71%4.83справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.64%
Преимущество +1.11%
Kelly +1.38%
Рост +0.078%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.64%20.77%20.75%22.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.464.505.1025.00%22.40%22.22%19.61%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.81%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.32%EV +9.09%E +1.07%K +1.21%G +0.110%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:40
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.50%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.38I 11.93%NM 11.52%EV +7.55%E +0.900%K +1.02%G +0.077%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.53%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV +5.88%E +0.712%K +0.811%G +0.048%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:35
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.53%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV +5.88%E +0.712%K +0.811%G +0.048%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:35
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 67.53%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV +5.88%E +0.712%K +0.811%G +0.048%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:35
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.381%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.87%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:35
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.381%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.87%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:35
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.381%G +0.010%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:45
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.39%EV -8.96%E -6.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%7.94I 12.59%NM 11.97%EV +1.90%E +0.239%K +0.274%G +0.005%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +5.64%E +1.11%K +1.38%G +0.078%5.2%2026-03-12 22:55
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 66.72%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.14%EV -0.540%E -0.070%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.14%EV -7.82%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:55
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 66.72%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.14%EV -0.540%E -0.070%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.14%EV -7.82%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:54
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 22:35
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:35
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.30%E -6.01%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -8.96%E -6.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 22:34
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 22:35
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-12 22:35
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 22:35
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -10.29%E -7.62%K -29.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -10.29%E -7.62%K -29.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 22:35
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.03%E -0.680%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:45
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.03%E -0.680%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:45
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -5.03%E -0.680%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 22:40
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 66.52%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 12.73%EV -5.42%E -0.735%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.75%EV -6.37%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 22:35
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 22:54
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 22:45
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 22:45
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 22:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-12 22:15
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:50
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:50
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:50
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -11.62%E -8.74%K -35.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-12 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -13.37%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 22:50
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -13.37%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 22:20
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 65.81%EV -8.96%E -6.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.46%EV -14.02%E -2.09%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-12 22:55
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 22:30
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 22:30
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 22:50
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.55%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-12 22:50
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -13.00%E -3.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-12 22:35
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 66.63%EV -17.60%E -14.19%K -73.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.71%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.66%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%21.0%2026-03-12 22:35
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.66%EV -10.95%E -8.17%K -32.22%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 13.64%EV -17.22%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.70%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 22:55
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -17.87%E -2.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -17.87%E -2.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 22:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.26%EV -10.29%E -7.62%K -29.40%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV -17.87%E -2.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.98%EV -13.00%E -3.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-12 22:45
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -7.63%E -5.49%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -19.79%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 22:45
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.69%EV -23.00%E -3.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-12 22:45
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.41%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-03-12 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.37%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.9%2026-03-12 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.37%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.9%2026-03-12 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.37%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.9%2026-03-12 22:50
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 68.09%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%1.3%2026-03-12 22:50
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%2.9%2026-03-12 22:50