Oddsskolan

Sao Paulo v Chapecoense

Matchstart: 2026-03-12 23:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Sao Paulo (Hemma)

Prognos 66.45%1.50rättvist odds
EV -3.64%
Fördel -2.51%
Kelly -8.10%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.72%66.36%66.61%69.39%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.241.401.411.4580.65%71.65%70.92%68.97%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Chapecoense (Borta)

Prognos 12.83%7.79rättvist odds
EV +9.09%
Fördel +1.07%
Kelly +1.21%
Tillväxt +0.110%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.32%12.86%12.63%14.69%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
6.007.247.408.5016.67%13.81%13.51%11.76%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 20.71%4.83rättvist odds
EV +5.64%
Fördel +1.11%
Kelly +1.38%
Tillväxt +0.078%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.64%20.77%20.75%22.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.004.464.505.1025.00%22.40%22.22%19.61%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.81%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.32%EV +9.09%E +1.07%K +1.21%G +0.110%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:40
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.50%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.38I 11.93%NM 11.52%EV +7.55%E +0.900%K +1.02%G +0.077%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.53%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV +5.88%E +0.712%K +0.811%G +0.048%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:35
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 67.53%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV +5.88%E +0.712%K +0.811%G +0.048%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:35
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 67.53%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV +5.88%E +0.712%K +0.811%G +0.048%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 22:35
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.381%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.87%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:35
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.381%G +0.010%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.87%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:35
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +2.67%E +0.334%K +0.381%G +0.010%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:45
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.39%EV -8.96%E -6.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%7.94I 12.59%NM 11.97%EV +1.90%E +0.239%K +0.274%G +0.005%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV +5.64%E +1.11%K +1.38%G +0.078%5.2%2026-03-12 22:55
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 66.72%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.14%EV -0.540%E -0.070%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.14%EV -7.82%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:55
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 66.72%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.14%EV -0.540%E -0.070%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.14%EV -7.82%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 22:54
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 22:35
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 22:35
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:35
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -8.30%E -6.01%K -21.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -8.96%E -6.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 22:34
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 22:35
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-12 22:35
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 22:35
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -10.29%E -7.62%K -29.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.94%EV -10.29%E -7.62%K -29.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -3.75%E -0.500%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 22:35
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.03%E -0.680%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:45
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.03%E -0.680%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 22:45
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.65%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -5.03%E -0.680%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 22:40
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 66.52%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 12.73%EV -5.42%E -0.735%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.75%EV -6.37%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 22:35
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 22:54
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 22:45
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 22:45
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 22:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-12 22:15
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:50
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:50
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 22:50
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -11.62%E -8.74%K -35.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-12 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -13.37%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.79%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 22:50
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -13.37%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 22:20
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 65.81%EV -8.96%E -6.54%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.46%EV -14.02%E -2.09%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-12 22:55
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 22:30
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 22:30
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 22:50
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.55%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-12 22:50
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -13.00%E -3.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-12 22:35
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 66.63%EV -17.60%E -14.19%K -73.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.71%EV -16.58%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.66%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%21.0%2026-03-12 22:35
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.66%EV -10.95%E -8.17%K -32.22%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 13.64%EV -17.22%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.70%EV -11.96%E -2.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 22:55
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -17.87%E -2.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -17.87%E -2.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 22:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.26%EV -10.29%E -7.62%K -29.40%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV -17.87%E -2.79%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.98%EV -13.00%E -3.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-12 22:45
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -7.63%E -5.49%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -19.79%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 22:45
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.81%EV -9.63%E -7.08%K -26.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.69%EV -23.00%E -3.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-12 22:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.41%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-03-12 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.37%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.9%2026-03-12 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.37%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.9%2026-03-12 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.37%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.9%2026-03-12 22:50
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 68.09%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%1.3%2026-03-12 22:50
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%2.9%2026-03-12 22:50