Language:English
Coritiba v Atletico Paranaense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Coritiba (Local)
Prediction 33.30%3.00fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.26%33.30%33.32%35.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.752.9138.46%36.21%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atletico Paranaense (Visit)
Prediction 36.51%2.74fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.32%36.53%36.53%38.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.552.552.6543.48%39.27%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.19%3.31fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.577%
Kelly -0.834%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.07%30.17%30.15%31.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.073.103.2534.48%32.53%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coritiba (Local): 33.30%; Atletico Paranaense (Visit): 36.51%; Draw: 30.19%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -1.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.60%EV -4.35%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.83%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.46%EV -4.35%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.71%EV -6.10%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 07:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.43%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 07:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 17:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 12:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -1.88%E -0.577%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 03:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -1.88%E -0.577%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 12:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 07:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -7.61%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 02:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 02:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 03:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 03:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 03:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 03:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -12.38%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 03:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 03:13 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 03:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 03:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.00%E -3.17%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 10:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.00%E -3.17%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 07:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 10:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 19:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 07:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 07:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 02:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -16.03%E -6.97%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 07:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 03:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 03:13 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 07:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.08%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.99%EV -13.48%E -5.69%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 29.92%EV -11.54%E -3.94%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -12.42%E -4.72%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-09 00:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.75%E -4.87%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 19:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -9.46%E -3.81%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -9.46%E -3.81%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -12.38%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-09 07:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.97% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.56% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.34% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 11:15 |