Idioma:Español
Coritiba v Atletico Paranaense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Coritiba (Local)
Predicción 33.30%3.00momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.26%33.30%33.32%35.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.762.752.9138.46%36.21%36.36%34.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atletico Paranaense (Visitante)
Predicción 36.51%2.74momio equitativo
EV -3.25%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.32%36.53%36.53%38.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.552.552.6543.48%39.27%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.19%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -0.577%
Kelly -0.834%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.07%30.17%30.15%31.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.073.103.2534.48%32.53%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Coritiba (Local): 33.30%; Atletico Paranaense (Visitante): 36.51%; Empate: 30.19%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.31. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.25, con un valor esperado de -1.88%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.60%EV -4.35%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.83%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.46%EV -4.35%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.71%EV -6.10%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 07:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.43%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 07:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 17:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 12:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -1.88%E -0.577%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 03:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -1.88%E -0.577%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 12:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 07:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -7.61%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 02:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 02:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 03:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 03:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 03:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 03:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -12.38%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 03:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 03:13 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 03:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 03:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.00%E -3.17%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 10:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.00%E -3.17%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 07:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 10:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 19:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 07:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 07:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 02:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -16.03%E -6.97%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 07:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 03:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 03:13 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 07:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.08%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.99%EV -13.48%E -5.69%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 29.92%EV -11.54%E -3.94%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -12.42%E -4.72%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-09 00:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.75%E -4.87%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 19:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -9.46%E -3.81%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -9.46%E -3.81%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -12.38%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-09 07:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.97% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.56% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.34% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 11:15 |