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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Coritiba v Atletico Paranaense

2026-09-12 00:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

15 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Coritiba (主队)

预测 34.80%2.87公平赔率
EV -4.31%
优势 -1.57%
Kelly -2.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
34.04%34.72%34.65%35.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.622.702.7540.82%38.12%37.04%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atletico Paranaense (客队)

预测 34.99%2.86公平赔率
EV -3.78%
优势 -1.37%
Kelly -2.16%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
34.04%34.84%35.16%35.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.622.702.7540.82%38.17%37.04%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.21%3.31公平赔率
EV -3.32%
优势 -1.04%
Kelly -1.51%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.67%30.44%30.20%31.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.972.903.2035.71%33.62%34.48%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Coritiba (主队)：34.80%；Atletico Paranaense (客队)：34.99%；平局：30.21%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.31。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.20，期望值为-3.32%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -3.78%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 14:04
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 08:19
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 08:19
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 08:16
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 08:20
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 08:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 08:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -5.53%E -2.05%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 08:19
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.83%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.33%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.53%E -3.67%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 08:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -13.01%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -12.53%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-01 13:25
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -13.01%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -12.53%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-01 08:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -13.01%E -5.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -12.53%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-01 13:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 34.65%EV -13.71%E -5.53%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 34.65%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.69%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-01 13:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.15%EV -14.75%E -6.02%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.15%EV -14.27%E -5.83%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.70%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-01 13:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 34.65%2.48I 40.32%NM 34.65%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.69%16.4%2026-09-01 13:30