StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Coritiba v Atletico Paranaense

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 00:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Coritiba 3–3 Atletico Paranaense

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Coritiba (Hemma)

Prognos 33.30%3.00rättvist odds
EV -3.10%
Fördel -1.06%
Kelly -1.62%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.26%33.30%33.32%35.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.762.752.9138.46%36.21%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Atletico Paranaense (Borta)

Prognos 36.51%2.74rättvist odds
EV -3.25%
Fördel -1.23%
Kelly -1.97%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.32%36.53%36.53%38.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.552.552.6543.48%39.27%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.19%3.31rättvist odds
EV -1.88%
Fördel -0.577%
Kelly -0.834%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.07%30.17%30.15%31.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.073.103.2534.48%32.53%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Coritiba (Hemma): 33.30%; Atletico Paranaense (Borta): 36.51%; Oavgjort: 30.19%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.31. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.25, med väntevärdet -1.88%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.60%EV -4.35%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.83%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.46%EV -4.35%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.71%EV -6.10%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 07:55
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.43%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 07:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:50
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:50
BetAnything🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:49
GTbets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -1.88%E -0.577%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 03:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -1.88%E -0.577%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 03:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 12:09
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 07:48
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -7.61%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 12:25
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 02:40
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 02:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 07:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 00:00
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:40
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 03:55
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 03:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 03:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 03:55
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -12.38%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 03:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:13
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:15
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:14
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:14
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:15
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.00%E -3.17%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 10:45
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.00%E -3.17%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 07:09
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 10:44
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:29
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 07:53
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 07:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 19:30
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 03:14
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 02:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -16.03%E -6.97%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-09 07:04
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 03:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 03:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 03:13
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 07:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.08%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.99%EV -13.48%E -5.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.92%EV -11.54%E -3.94%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 07:05
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -12.42%E -4.72%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 00:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.75%E -4.87%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 19:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -9.46%E -3.81%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 03:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -9.46%E -3.81%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 03:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -12.38%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-09 07:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%1.0%2026-09-09 10:45
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 32.97%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.56%3.9%2026-09-09 16:35
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.34%10.6%2026-09-09 11:15