Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Coritiba v Atletico Paranaense

Inizio: 2026-09-12 00:00 UTC

Finale: Coritiba 3–3 Atletico Paranaense

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Coritiba (Casa)

Previsione 33.30%3.00quota equa
EV -3.10%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.26%33.30%33.32%35.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.762.752.9138.46%36.21%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Atletico Paranaense (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.51%2.74quota equa
EV -3.25%
Vantaggio -1.23%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.32%36.53%36.53%38.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.552.552.6543.48%39.27%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 30.19%3.31quota equa
EV -1.88%
Vantaggio -0.577%
Kelly -0.834%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.07%30.17%30.15%31.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.073.103.2534.48%32.53%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Coritiba (Casa): 33.30%; Atletico Paranaense (Trasferta): 36.51%; Pareggio: 30.19%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.31. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.25, con un valore atteso del -1.88%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.60%EV -4.35%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.83%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.46%EV -4.35%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.71%EV -6.10%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 07:55
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.43%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 07:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:50
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:50
BetAnything🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:49
GTbets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -1.88%E -0.577%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 03:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -1.88%E -0.577%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 03:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 12:09
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 07:48
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -7.61%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 12:25
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 02:40
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 02:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 07:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 00:00
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:40
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 03:55
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 03:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 03:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 03:55
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -12.38%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 03:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:13
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:15
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:14
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:14
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:15
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.00%E -3.17%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 10:45
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.00%E -3.17%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 07:09
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 10:44
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:29
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 07:53
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 07:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 19:30
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 03:14
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 02:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -16.03%E -6.97%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-09 07:04
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 03:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 03:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 03:13
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 07:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.08%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.99%EV -13.48%E -5.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.92%EV -11.54%E -3.94%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 07:05
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -12.42%E -4.72%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 00:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.75%E -4.87%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 19:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -9.46%E -3.81%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 03:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -9.46%E -3.81%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 03:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -12.38%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-09 07:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%1.0%2026-09-09 10:45
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 32.97%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.56%3.9%2026-09-09 16:35
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.34%10.6%2026-09-09 11:15