Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Coritiba v Atletico Paranaense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 00:00 UTC

Score final : Coritiba 3–3 Atletico Paranaense

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Coritiba (Local)

Prévision 33.30%3.00cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.26%33.30%33.32%35.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.762.752.9138.46%36.21%36.36%34.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atletico Paranaense (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.51%2.74cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -1.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.32%36.53%36.53%38.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.552.552.6543.48%39.27%39.22%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.19%3.31cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.577%
Kelly -0.834%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.07%30.17%30.15%31.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.073.103.2534.48%32.53%32.26%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Coritiba (Local) : 33.30% ; Atletico Paranaense (Visiteur) : 36.51% ; Match nul : 30.19%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.31. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.25, pour une espérance de -1.88% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.60%EV -4.35%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.44%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.83%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.46%EV -4.35%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.71%EV -6.10%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 07:55
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.43%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 07:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:50
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:50
BetAnything🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.07%EV -4.10%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 17:49
GTbets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -4.76%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -1.88%E -0.577%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 03:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -1.88%E -0.577%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 03:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 12:09
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 07:48
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -7.61%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 12:25
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.04%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.85%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 14:30
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 02:40
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 02:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 07:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 00:00
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:40
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 03:55
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 03:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 03:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 03:55
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -12.38%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 03:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:13
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:15
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:14
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:14
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 03:15
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.00%E -3.17%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 10:45
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -8.00%E -3.17%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 07:09
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 10:44
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 19:29
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 07:53
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 07:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 19:30
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 03:14
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 02:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -16.03%E -6.97%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.93%E -3.71%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-09 07:04
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 03:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 03:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 03:13
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 07:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.08%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.99%EV -13.48%E -5.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.92%EV -11.54%E -3.94%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 07:05
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -12.42%E -4.72%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 00:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -12.75%E -4.87%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.40%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 19:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -9.46%E -3.81%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 03:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -9.46%E -3.81%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 03:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -12.38%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-09 07:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%1.0%2026-09-09 10:45
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 32.97%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.56%3.9%2026-09-09 16:35
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.34%10.6%2026-09-09 11:15