StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Botafogo v Grêmio

Matchstart: 2026-07-29 00:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

41 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Botafogo (Hemma)

Prognos 54.22%1.84rättvist odds
EV -0.242%
Fördel -0.131%
Kelly -0.288%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.84

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.69%53.96%54.37%55.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.561.721.731.8464.10%58.16%57.80%54.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Grêmio (Borta)

Prognos 20.07%4.98rättvist odds
EV +5.38%
Fördel +1.02%
Kelly +1.27%
Tillväxt +0.068%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.95%20.27%19.79%22.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.554.505.2525.00%21.98%22.22%19.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.71%3.89rättvist odds
EV +0.273%
Fördel +0.070%
Kelly +0.094%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.04%25.77%25.84%27.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.633.643.9030.30%27.54%27.47%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Botafogo (Hemma): 54.22%; Grêmio (Borta): 20.07%; Oavgjort: 25.71%. För Grêmio (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.98. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.38%.

Spelbolagsodds (41 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.29%E -4.26%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV +5.38%E +1.02%K +1.27%G +0.068%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 16:00
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.49%EV +4.18%E +0.805%K +0.997%G +0.042%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.36%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 20:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.19%EV -8.37%E -4.96%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV +1.37%E +0.271%K +0.337%G +0.005%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -8.98%E -2.54%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 20:04
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV +0.363%E +0.073%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 07:48
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV +0.363%E +0.073%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 01:05
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.64%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.10%EV -0.641%E -0.130%K -0.162%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.65%E -0.761%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 02:20
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.65%E -0.761%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 17:09
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -3.65%E -0.761%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.66%E -0.980%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.35%EV -2.95%E -1.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%EV +0.273%E +0.070%K +0.094%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-26 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.35%EV -2.95%E -1.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%EV +0.273%E +0.070%K +0.094%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-26 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.75%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 08:50
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -6.75%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -5.66%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 08:50
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.41%EV -4.04%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.33%EV -6.66%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -7.44%E -2.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 13:25
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.67%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 13:30
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 15:25
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 15:25
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.30%E -0.605%K -0.821%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.75%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -3.58%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:25
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -7.29%E -4.26%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.58%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.87%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 15:25
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.67%E -2.15%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.49%EV -12.71%E -7.90%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.71%EV -10.68%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 06:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.76%EV -13.25%E -8.28%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.69%EV -10.68%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.55%EV -11.81%E -3.44%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-23 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.68%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.68%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.46%E -5.66%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.68%E -2.65%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -7.83%E -4.61%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -13.69%E -3.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -1.01%E -0.263%K -0.355%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-22 16:39
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 21:45
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -5.12%E -2.93%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.21%EV -13.25%E -8.28%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -15.70%E -3.74%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%EV -11.30%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-23 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -0.242%E -0.131%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.77%EV -16.10%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.72%EV -0.242%E -0.131%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.77%EV -16.10%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.69%EV -0.242%E -0.131%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.81%EV -16.30%E -3.91%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.50%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 53.68%EV -15.42%E -9.89%K -27.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.94%EV -19.71%E -4.93%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.38%EV -15.15%E -4.59%K -6.59%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-23 14:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.