La scuola delle quote

Botafogo v Grêmio

2026-07-29 00:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

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21 bookmaker (3 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Botafogo (Casa)

Previsione 53.76%1.86quota equa
EV -3.23%
Vantaggio -1.80%
Kelly -4.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.77%53.76%54.04%54.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.731.731.8059.52%57.77%57.80%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Grêmio (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.91%5.02quota equa
EV -4.43%
Vantaggio -0.924%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.12%19.91%19.78%21.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.354.564.504.8022.99%21.93%22.22%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.33%3.80quota equa
EV +1.37%
Vantaggio +0.357%
Kelly +0.482%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.93%26.33%26.18%27.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.623.703.8530.30%27.63%27.03%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (21 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.80%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%EV -8.42%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV +1.37%E +0.357%K +0.482%G +0.007%3.3%2026-07-26 01:05
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.80%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%EV -8.42%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV +1.37%E +0.357%K +0.482%G +0.007%3.3%2026-07-26 01:05
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -10.41%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.26%E -0.336%K -0.458%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 01:05
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -10.41%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.26%E -0.336%K -0.458%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 01:04
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -10.41%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.26%E -0.336%K -0.458%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 01:04
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -10.41%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.26%E -0.336%K -0.458%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 01:04
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -10.41%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.26%E -0.336%K -0.458%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 01:05
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.46%E -3.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -10.41%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.26%E -0.336%K -0.458%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 01:05
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -7.00%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.41%E -2.31%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -1.26%E -0.336%K -0.458%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 01:05
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.53%E -4.38%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -12.40%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -2.57%E -0.696%K -0.954%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -8.07%E -4.72%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -12.40%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -2.57%E -0.696%K -0.954%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 01:05
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.16%EV -9.68%E -5.76%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -13.39%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -3.89%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 01:04
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.16%EV -9.68%E -5.76%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -13.39%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -3.89%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 01:04
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.16%EV -9.68%E -5.76%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -13.39%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -3.89%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 01:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -7.53%E -4.38%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -6.43%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 03:29
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -7.53%E -4.38%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -6.43%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 03:29
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.92%E -3.38%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -8.42%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 03:34
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -7.00%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -4.43%E -0.924%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 15:54
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -7.00%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -4.43%E -0.924%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 15:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -7.00%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -4.43%E -0.924%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -7.00%E -4.04%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -4.43%E -0.924%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 15:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.